Analyst Anna: It is expected that the CPI report in November will show the core inflation rate of 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month. This is consistent with the annual inflation increase of more than 3%, which is higher than the Fed's target of 2%. Since the middle of the year, the anti-inflation process of core CPI seems to have stagnated. There is no doubt that this will be a topic to be discussed at the FOMC meeting in December.MetLife and General Atlantic are planning to form a reinsurance joint venture. It is reported that MetLife and General Atlantic are forming a reinsurance joint venture, which is the latest trend that insurance companies and alternative fund management companies jointly improve the return on low-risk insurance assets. Chariot Reinsurance, the joint venture, will have an initial equity of more than $1 billion, with MetLife and General Atlantic Insurance each holding about 15%. In addition, the insurance company Chubb will also become one of the major investors in the joint venture. The joint venture will be established in the first half of 2025, led by Cynthia Smith, who recently served as the head of the regional welfare business of Metropolitan Insurance Group.Institution: The global rapeseed production reduction made the vegetable oil inventory decrease year-on-year, which supported the vegetable oil in Yuanyue. Chaotic Tiancheng Futures said that the excessive rapeseed import in the fourth quarter had supply pressure, the demand side was in the traditional consumption peak season and the low price difference between soybean oil and vegetable oil was conducive to vegetable oil consumption, which had short-term bottom support for vegetable oil. In the long run, the global rapeseed production reduction makes the vegetable oil inventory decrease year-on-year, which supports the vegetable oil in Yuanyue. Nanhua futures believes that, on the whole, the supply sources and channels of vegetable oil are gradually weakened by the restrictions on rapeseed imports. At present, due to the excellent cost performance of soybean oil at the consumer end, vegetable oil will not consider the extra increment caused by the market competition between oils and fats except the seasonal increase in consumption in the short term. However, since the subsequent inventory of vegetable oil is still fluctuating at a high level, considering the possibility of seeking demand from the competitive price of soybean oil, there will be a clear reverse correlation between the subsequent inventory and consumption of vegetable oil, while the supply consideration is relatively constant and inflexible.
British Prime Minister's Spokesperson: British Prime Minister Stamer will meet with Apple CEO Cook to discuss investment.Before the release of CPI in the United States, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December was 86.1%. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged by December was 13.9%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points was 86.1%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.6%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 69.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 20.2%.The UN Secretary-General visited South Africa and called on the G20 to reform global financial institutions. On December 11th, local time, UN Secretary-General Guterres visited South Africa and attended the first meeting of G20 finance ministers and central bank governors in Johannesburg after South Africa assumed the rotating presidency of G20. Guterres called on the G20 to achieve financial justice, reform global financial institutions and expand the global safety net. He also expressed support for South Africa as the rotating presidency of G20. In the afternoon, Guterres met with South African Foreign Minister Lamora in the South African Foreign Ministry Building. The two sides discussed the priorities of the G20 presidency, promoted the implementation of future agreements, and ensured the accelerated realization of sustainable development and climate commitments. (CCTV News)
Polish and Estonian Prime Ministers held talks to discuss regional security and other issues. Polish Prime Minister Tusk met with Estonian Prime Minister michal in Warsaw on December 11th, local time. The two countries discussed the issues of aid to Ukraine, regional security and cooperation, and Poland's taking over the rotating presidency of the European Union. Michal pointed out at a news conference that it is necessary for NATO member countries to spend more than 2.5% of their gross domestic product (GDP) on defense, and Estonia has already exceeded 2% of GDP in 2022. Michal pointed out that NATO countries are still lacking in air defense and ammunition production capacity, which must be solved quickly. Tusk said that he shared the same attitude with michal on regional security and aid to Ukraine, and he hoped that the conflict between Russia and Ukraine could be ended in a way acceptable to all. (CCTV News)The actual average weekly salary in November in the United States increased by 1% year-on-year. According to the data of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the actual average weekly salary in November increased by 0.3% month-on-month. The actual average hourly wage in November was flat, and the actual average hourly wage in November increased by 1.3% year-on-year. The actual average weekly salary increased by $3.71, reaching $385.99.Goldman Sachs: CPI clears the way for the Fed to cut interest rates next week. It is expected that the policy will be gradually relaxed in the future. Whitney Watson, an analyst at Goldman Sachs: Today's CPI data clears the way for next week's interest rate cut. After today's data is released, the Fed will start a "silent period", and they still have confidence in the process of anti-inflation. We believe that the Fed will further gradually relax monetary policy in the new year.